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SPC May 28, 2012 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook

Day 1 Outlook Thumbnail Image

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0758 PM CDT SUN MAY 27 2012

VALID 280100Z - 281200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM THE CENTRAL PLAINS NEWD
INTO THE UPPER MS VALLEY/WRN UPPER GREAT LAKES REGION...

...CENTRAL PLAINS NEWD INTO THE UPPER MS VALLEY/WRN UPPER GREAT
LAKES REGION...
AN ONGOING BAND OF INTENSE STORMS/EMBEDDED SUPERCELLS EXTENDS FROM W
CENTRAL KS NNEWD INTO SRN MN/NWRN WI ATTM...JUST AHEAD OF THE
SURFACE COLD FRONT WITHIN AN AXIS OF MODERATE INSTABILITY.  AS THE
MAIN UPPER TROUGH CONTINUES SHIFTING EWD ACROSS THE PLAINS AND A
SSWLY LOW-LEVEL JET INTENSIFIES IN RESPONSE...EXPECT STORMS TO
CONTINUE WELL INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS...THOUGH A SLOW DECREASE IN
SEVERE POTENTIAL IS EXPECTED AFTER MIDNIGHT.

UNTIL THEN...DEGREE OF INSTABILITY AND FAVORABLE SHEAR OBSERVED VIA
EVENING RAOBS AND AREA VWP/PROFILER DATA SUPPORT ONGOING THREATS FOR
VERY LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...AND A COUPLE OF TORNADOES.

...MID-ATLANTIC...
BOWING BAND OF STORMS CONTINUES TO SLOWLY WEAKEN AS IT MOVES SEWD
ACROSS PARTS OF ERN PA/MD/THE ERN WV PANHANDLE AND INTO NRN VA ATTM.
 WITH MOIST/UNSTABLE AIRMASS POTENTIALLY SUPPORTING STRONG
CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY FOR ANOTHER 1-2 HOURS...WILL MAINTAIN 5%
PROBABILITY FOR A FEW LOCALLY SEVERE GUSTS.

..GOSS.. 05/28/2012

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via SPC Forecast Products http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk_0100.html

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