DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0757 PM CDT TUE MAY 29 2012 VALID 300100Z - 301200Z ...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS SRN KS/OK/N TX AND VICINITY... ...SRN KS/OK/N TX AND VICINITY... NUMEROUS SEVERE/SUPERCELL STORMS ARE ONGOING ATTM FROM THE NRN OK VICINITY SWD THE RED RIVER VALLEY REGION OF NWRN TX. THIS CLUSTER OF STORMS IS BOUNDED BY A DRYLINE TO THE WEST /OVER WRN OK/ AND A WARM FRONT TO THE N /OVER SRN KS/. WITH A VERY MOIST/UNSTABLE AIRMASS AHEAD OF THE STORMS ACROSS OK COMBINED WITH AMPLE SHEAR /0-6 KM SHEAR PER EVENING NORMAN OK RAOB/...THE ENVIRONMENT REMAINS QUITE FAVORABLE FOR A SUBSTANTIAL SEVERE THREAT. ALONG WITH THREAT FOR DAMAGING WINDS LOCALLY...VERY LARGE/DAMAGING HAIL CAN BE EXPECTED WITH THE MOST INTENSE CELLS. SEVERE THREAT SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGH THE EVENING AND INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS...WITH STORMS LIKELY TO CONGEAL LATER THIS EVENING INTO ONE OR MORE MCS/S ACROSS OK -- AND POSSIBLY INTO NWRN TX AS A SSWLY LOW-LEVEL JET INTENSIFIES. ...SRN NEW ENGLAND TO LONG ISLAND/NEW YORK CITY... STORMS HAVE DIMINISHED SIGNIFICANTLY ACROSS THE ERN U.S. OVER THE PAST COUPLE OF HOURS...THOUGH A STRONG BAND OF STORMS CONTINUES MOVING ACROSS MA/CT AND THE NYC AREA ATTM. WITH LIMITED CAPE STILL AVAILABLE ACROSS INTO ERN MA/ERN CT/RI...STORMS MAY REMAIN CAPABLE OF A LOCALLY DAMAGING WIND GUST OR TWO FOR ANOTHER HOUR OR SO. ..GOSS.. 05/30/2012
via SPC Forecast Products http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk_0100.html





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