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SPC May 30, 2012 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook

Day 1 Outlook Thumbnail Image

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0757 PM CDT TUE MAY 29 2012

VALID 300100Z - 301200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS SRN KS/OK/N TX AND
VICINITY...

...SRN KS/OK/N TX AND VICINITY...
NUMEROUS SEVERE/SUPERCELL STORMS ARE ONGOING ATTM FROM THE NRN OK
VICINITY SWD THE RED RIVER VALLEY REGION OF NWRN TX.  THIS CLUSTER
OF STORMS IS BOUNDED BY A DRYLINE TO THE WEST /OVER WRN OK/ AND A
WARM FRONT TO THE N /OVER SRN KS/.

WITH A VERY MOIST/UNSTABLE AIRMASS AHEAD OF THE STORMS ACROSS OK
COMBINED WITH AMPLE SHEAR /0-6 KM SHEAR PER EVENING NORMAN OK
RAOB/...THE ENVIRONMENT REMAINS QUITE FAVORABLE FOR A SUBSTANTIAL
SEVERE THREAT.  ALONG WITH THREAT FOR DAMAGING WINDS LOCALLY...VERY
LARGE/DAMAGING HAIL CAN BE EXPECTED WITH THE MOST INTENSE CELLS.

SEVERE THREAT SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGH THE EVENING AND INTO THE
OVERNIGHT HOURS...WITH STORMS LIKELY TO CONGEAL LATER THIS EVENING
INTO ONE OR MORE MCS/S ACROSS OK -- AND POSSIBLY INTO NWRN TX AS A
SSWLY LOW-LEVEL JET INTENSIFIES.

...SRN NEW ENGLAND TO LONG ISLAND/NEW YORK CITY...
STORMS HAVE DIMINISHED SIGNIFICANTLY ACROSS THE ERN U.S. OVER THE
PAST COUPLE OF HOURS...THOUGH A STRONG BAND OF STORMS CONTINUES
MOVING ACROSS MA/CT AND THE NYC AREA ATTM.  WITH LIMITED CAPE STILL
AVAILABLE ACROSS INTO ERN MA/ERN CT/RI...STORMS MAY REMAIN CAPABLE
OF A LOCALLY DAMAGING WIND GUST OR TWO FOR ANOTHER HOUR OR SO.

..GOSS.. 05/30/2012

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via SPC Forecast Products http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk_0100.html

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