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SPC MD 104

MD 0104 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 30… FOR CENTRAL PORTIONS OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE

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Mesoscale Discussion 0104
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0601 AM CST Wed Jan 25 2023

Areas affected...central portions of the Florida Panhandle

Concerning...Tornado Watch 30...

Valid 251201Z - 251330Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 30 continues.

SUMMARY...Storms moving across central parts of the Florida
Panhandle will continue pose risk for damaging winds, as well as a
couple of tornadoes in coastal counties.

DISCUSSION...A band of generally sub-severe convection continues
moving eastward across western Georgia/southeastern Alabama, where a
cool/stable boundary layer persists.  However, southern portions of
this band of storms -- now moving across central parts of the
Florida Panhandle -- remain more vigorous/locally severe.  Here,
dewpoints in the mid to upper 60s along the coast are supporting
near-surface-based instability immediately ahead of the convective
band -- supporting the more robust updrafts.

Low-level shear remains favorable for rotating storms, with
southeasterlies at low-levels veering with height to southwesterly
in the 1km to 2km layer.  As a result, several offshore storms
continue to exhibit rotation, some of which have moved onshore and
produced small TDS signatures over the past hour.  While the
observed rotation diminishes rapidly as storms move away from
coastal areas, potential for brief tornadoes will continue across
southern portions of WW 30 -- i.e. coastal portions of the
Panhandle.

..Goss.. 01/25/2023

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...TAE...

LAT...LON   29888613 30528569 30298521 29878469 29378466 29638562
            29888613 

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