MD 1108 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL…WATCH UNLIKELY FOR PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL FLORIDA PENINSULA
Mesoscale Discussion 1108
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0227 PM CDT Fri Jun 16 2023
Areas affected...portions of the central Florida Peninsula
Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely
Valid 161927Z - 162200Z
Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent
SUMMARY...A couple of damaging gusts are possible this afternoon.
The severe threat should remain isolated and a WW issuance is not
expected.
DISCUSSION...Several pulse cellular storms have developed along the
leading edge of a density current from a remnant MCS which
dissipated across the FL panhandle earlier today. While this density
current will act as a source of lift for scattered to widespread
thunderstorm development through the afternoon, vertical shear will
remain quite weak ahead of the storms. When also considering modest
mid-level lapse rates, the main threat with the stronger storms
would be a couple of damaging gusts. Since the overall severe threat
is expected to be isolated, a WW issuance is not anticipated.
..Squitieri.. 06/16/2023
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...MFL...MLB...TBW...
LAT...LON 27938283 28648214 28798139 28368067 27428021 26958015
26738049 26748132 26788193 27158249 27938283
