MD 1214 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 360… FOR SOUTHWEST/CENTRAL OK AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS

Mesoscale Discussion 1214
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0709 PM CDT Thu Jun 22 2023
Areas affected...Southwest/Central OK and western North Texas
Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 360...
Valid 230009Z - 230115Z
The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 360
continues.
SUMMARY...Severe risk through around sunset should remain focused in
two general areas, along/south of the Red River into western North
Texas as well as central Oklahoma.
DISCUSSION...Early this evening, the most intense storm/supercell
potential is expected to remain semi-focused across western North
Texas near the northwest/southeast-oriented boundary where
instability is maximized. SPC objective analysis reflects around
2250-2500 J/kg MLCAPE in this corridor coincident with around 45 kt
effective shear. Large hail (1.75" diameter in Hardeman Co. TX) has
been recently reported, and should remain a continued risk through
at least around sunset.
Farther north, a cluster of storms will continue to move eastward
and potentially pose a severe risk into the OKC metro area/I-35
corridor, mostly in the form of damaging winds/marginally severe
hail.
..Guyer.. 06/23/2023
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...OUN...
LAT...LON 34059998 34339987 34589869 35219851 35639838 35719787
35649714 34859698 34269795 33479877 33449923 33699965
34059998




