MD 1223 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL…WATCH UNLIKELY FOR PARTS OF CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN FLORIDA
Mesoscale Discussion 1223
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0429 PM CDT Fri Jun 23 2023
Areas affected...Parts of central and southern Florida
Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely
Valid 232129Z - 232330Z
Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent
SUMMARY...A couple loosely organized storms capable of wind damage
and marginal hail are possible this afternoon.
DISCUSSION...Isolated to widely scattered thunderstorms are ongoing
across parts of central and southern Florida this afternoon,
generally focused along a southwest/northeast-oriented confluence
band and sea breeze boundaries. Given continued diurnal
destabilization of a moist air mass (lower/middle 70s dewpoints)
beneath steeper-than-average midlevel lapse rates, storms could
continue to strengthen through the afternoon. And, 30 kt of midlevel
flow (sampled by the MLB VWP) could aid in some updraft
organization. As storms generally spread northeastward toward the
coast, locally damaging gusts and marginal hail could accompany any
loosely organized clusters this afternoon. The threat should
generally remain localized and marginal.
..Weinman/Thompson.. 06/23/2023
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...MFL...MLB...TBW...
LAT...LON 26928046 26528072 26228109 26348162 27208166 27638169
28268178 28768136 28758070 28158040 27408025 26928046
