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SPC MD 1227

MD 1227 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 364… FOR PARTS OF EAST TEXAS


Mesoscale Discussion 1227
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0710 PM CDT Fri Jun 23 2023

Areas affected...parts of East Texas

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 364...

Valid 240010Z - 240215Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 364
continues.

SUMMARY...Local risk for strong/severe wind gusts, and large hail,
continues in/near WW 364.

DISCUSSION...Latest radar loop shows that the cluster of storms --
in the vicinity of TYR-GGG -- moving quickly southeastward across
East Texas, has weakened a bit over the past hour.  Still,
strong/gusty winds are possible ahead of this cluster.  Meanwhile, a
more isolated cell has developed northeast of CRS, that is drifting
slowly south-southeastward.  This storm currently appears capable of
producing hail near severe levels. 

Despite the signs of new storm development near the primary axis of
instability (3000 to 3500 J/kg mixed-layer CAPE), overall convective
trends over the next 1 to 2 hours should be steady to gradually
downward, as diurnal stabilization commences and the low-level jet
increase remains well west of this area.

..Goss.. 06/24/2023

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...SHV...FWD...

LAT...LON   31929681 32319652 32889569 32519523 31779494 31579610
            31929681 

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