MD 0138 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL…WATCH POSSIBLE FOR NORTHERN MS
Mesoscale Discussion 0138
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0656 PM CST Wed Feb 08 2023
Areas affected...northern MS
Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible
Valid 090056Z - 090200Z
Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent
SUMMARY...Storms are gradually intensifying across northern MS early
this evening. It is uncertain whether a tornado watch is needed.
Short-term convective trends will be monitored.
DISCUSSION...Radar imagery shows a couple of storms developing
across northern MS to the north of a mainly stratiform rain area to
the south over central MS. Surface analysis indicates lower 60s deg
F dewpoints over northern MS with richer low-level moisture farther
south (mid 60s along the I-20 corridor). As the mid-level shortwave
trough continues to pivot towards the region, hodographs are
forecast to enlarge across northern MS. If storms can become
surface-based, a tornado risk may potentially accompany these storms
if/once they evolve into supercells. Otherwise, an isolated
damaging-wind threat will tend to be the primary risk with the
stronger storms through the evening hours.
..Smith/Grams.. 02/09/2023
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...MEG...JAN...
LAT...LON 33969034 34648972 34858922 34508854 33858866 33318949
33449028 33969034
