MD 0141 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 32… FOR SOUTHEAST LA INTO SOUTHERN MS
Mesoscale Discussion 0141
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0950 PM CST Wed Feb 08 2023
Areas affected...Southeast LA into southern MS
Concerning...Tornado Watch 32...
Valid 090350Z - 090445Z
The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 32 continues.
SUMMARY...The risk of an isolated strong to severe storm continues
across parts of Tornado Watch 32. A downstream watch is not
currently expected, though convective trends are being monitored.
DISCUSSION...Latest regional radar data shows a broken line of
convection with a few deep/embedded updrafts tracking northward from
the northern Gulf of Mexico into southern LA. This activity is
generally being aided by a plume of broad low-level warm advection,
though the primary low-level jet is lifting northward into MS per
regional VWP data. Upper 60s/lower 70s boundary-layer dewpoints over
southeast LA and a veering wind profile in the lowest 1 km (around
250 m2/s2 0-1 km SRH from LIX VWP) could support a brief tornado
threat with any deeper/persistent updrafts. Overall, the threat
appears localized, and a new watch is not currently expected
downstream of Tornado Watch 32. However, convective trends will be
monitored.
..Weinman/Grams.. 02/09/2023
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...MOB...JAN...LIX...
LAT...LON 28949020 29049082 29509084 30289048 30769004 30988959
30938902 30778870 30088881 29048946 28949020
