MD 1434 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL…WATCH UNLIKELY FOR EASTERN TEXAS PANHANDLE INTO FAR WESTERN OKLAHOMA
Mesoscale Discussion 1434
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0355 PM CDT Wed Jul 05 2023
Areas affected...eastern Texas Panhandle into far western Oklahoma
Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely
Valid 052055Z - 052230Z
Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent
SUMMARY...Isolated severe storms will remain possible for a few
hours over a small area from the eastern Texas Panhandle into far
western Oklahoma. Large hail will be the primary threat.
DISCUSSION...Storms persist near the intersection of a modified
outflow boundary and surface trough over the northeast TX Panhandle.
Other attempts at initiation have failed farther east into OK where
capping is a bit stronger. However, additional heating and air mass
modification may yield isolated cells into that area as well as
backed low-level winds favor rightward propagation. If the zone can
destabilize further, a small corridor of damaging hail may
materialize. At this time, the overall size and duration of the
severe risk appears too short/small for a watch, although trends
will continue to be monitored.
..Jewell/Grams.. 07/05/2023
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...OUN...AMA...
LAT...LON 35210108 35810076 36130050 36170020 36019990 35849975
35269903 34969894 34769946 34770010 34810069 34950102
35210108
