MD 1680 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL…WATCH UNLIKELY FOR PARTS OF SOUTH-CENTRAL TEXAS
Mesoscale Discussion 1680
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0109 PM CDT Mon Aug 15 2022
Areas affected...Parts of South-central texas
Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely
Valid 151809Z - 152015Z
Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent
SUMMARY...A brief tornado or two will be possible with the stronger
updrafts in South-central Texas this afternoon. A watch is not
expected.
DISCUSSION...As temperatures continue to warm into the upper 70s to
low 80s F, some deeper updrafts have become evident on visible
satellite in parts of South-central Texas. Occasionally stronger
rotation has also been noted on KEWX radar over the last 30 minutes.
With continued heating, a few more updrafts could intensify this
afternoon. The influence of the tropical low pressure system has
enhanced low-level easterly/southeasterly winds. Based on the KDFX
and KEWX VAD winds, the most favorable area for low-level rotation
will be near the I-35 and Texas State Highway 16 corridors. There,
low-level flow enhancement will coincide with stronger surface
heating along the eastern flank of the low pressure circulation. A
watch is not expected for this activity this afternoon.
..Wendt/Thompson.. 08/15/2022
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...CRP...EWX...
LAT...LON 28139919 29009947 29409962 29699914 29659889 29179861
28909858 28379840 27969841 27649852 27609859 27629888
27849911 28139919
