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SPC MD 1836

MD 1836 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 545… FOR SOUTHERN FLORIDA

MD 1836 Image


Mesoscale Discussion 1836
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0537 PM CDT Tue Sep 27 2022

Areas affected...southern Florida

Concerning...Tornado Watch 545...

Valid 272237Z - 280030Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 545 continues.

SUMMARY...The threat of supercells within the outer bands of Ian
will continue to pose a tornado risk through the evening.

DISCUSSION...A northwest-southeast oriented band of supercells
continues to translate north across southern FL, with periodic
strong rotation and brief tornadoes. These storms may eventually
encounter slightly lower boundary-layer theta-e as they gain
latitude. However, advection of upper 70s F to near 80 F dewpoints
will persist to the south, with slowly veering surface winds.

Deep-layer effective shear is oriented quite favorably in relation
to the outer convective bands, with a large component across the
bands. This should aid supercellular storm mode, and the possibility
of rightward motions relative to the weaker echoes, maximizing SRH.

..Jewell.. 09/27/2022

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...MFL...KEY...

LAT...LON   24648220 24868136 25408065 25938023 25667986 24968019
            24468098 24278194 24648220 

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