MD 1919 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 560… FOR SOUTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE DALLAS-FORT WORTH METROPLEX
Mesoscale Discussion 1919
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0247 PM CDT Fri Nov 04 2022
Areas affected...southeastern Oklahoma southward across the
Dallas-Fort Worth Metroplex
Concerning...Tornado Watch 560...
Valid 041947Z - 042145Z
The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 560 continues.
SUMMARY...Severe-weather risk -- including potential for tornadoes
-- continues across portions of WW 560.
DISCUSSION...Latest radar loop over the southern Plains shows storms
occurring in two zones -- one, featuring elevated storms capable of
producing marginal hail on the cool side of the cold front, and a
second, warm-advection-driven band of storms from south of the DFW
Metroplex north-northeastward into southeastern Oklahoma.
This band of warm-sector storms will continue to pose the greatest
severe-weather risk over the next couple of hours, where a
moist/amply unstable, and strongly sheared environment remains in
place ahead of the front.
In the past couple of hours, an increase in the number of
strong/occasionally rotating storms has been observed. One such
storm passed through the Dallas/Fort Worth area, and a second is now
organizing just to the northeast. Meanwhile, a second transiently
supercellular cluster of storms is moving across southeastern
Oklahoma, where a couple of tornado warnings are in effect, and
where damage to mobile homes was reported around 1830Z.
Expect supercell coverage to increase over the next 1-2 hours, as
cells in an area from roughly Dallas to Stephenville to Waco in
particular appear likely to ramp up in the short term.
..Goss.. 11/04/2022
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...SHV...TSA...FWD...OUN...
LAT...LON 31139711 31669812 34289704 35259588 34769542 33509499
31339688 31139711
