MD 2049 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 591… FOR PARTS OF THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN FL PENINSULA
Mesoscale Discussion 2049
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0242 PM CST Thu Dec 15 2022
Areas affected...Parts of the central/southern FL Peninsula
Concerning...Tornado Watch 591...
Valid 152042Z - 152215Z
The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 591 continues.
SUMMARY...Some severe threat may persist through the remainder of
this afternoon, but a gradual weakening trend is expected with time.
New watch issuance is not anticipated.
DISCUSSION...At 2030 UTC, a long-lived storm cluster is moving
eastward across parts of the central FL Peninsula. Despite moderate
buoyancy and favorable deep-layer shear, convection has struggled to
remain organized this afternoon, likely due to decreasing
large-scale ascent and weak low-level convergence as storms become
increasingly displaced from the primary cold front. However, a
stronger bowing segment or embedded supercell remains possible in
the short term, as evidenced by a recent uptick in storm
organization near Melbourne, and a threat for locally damaging gusts
and/or a brief tornado will persist through the remainder of the
afternoon.
With WW 591 scheduled to expire at 21Z and a gradual weakening trend
expected with time, new watch issuance is not anticipated.
..Dean/Hart.. 12/15/2022
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...MFL...MLB...TBW...
LAT...LON 26808235 27328198 28268065 27818030 27278031 26738111
26578158 26458204 26808235
