MD 0218 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL…WATCH UNLIKELY FOR FAR NORTH-CENTRAL KY…SOUTHERN OH
Mesoscale Discussion 0218
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0420 AM CST Mon Mar 07 2022
Areas affected...Far North-Central KY...Southern OH
Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely
Valid 071020Z - 071215Z
Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent
SUMMARY...A few more damaging wind gusts are possible across far
north-central KY southern OH over the next hour or two.
DISCUSSION...A shallow convective line continues to move quickly
eastward across southwest OH, just ahead of a surface low currently
centered over the IN/OH/KY border intersection. Very strong wind
fields are in place over the region, contributing to fast storm
motion, which was recently estimated at 52 kt. Buoyancy is very
limited across the region, but the large-scale forcing for ascent is
being augmented by the more mesoscale ascent attendant to the
surface low. This is contributing to an area of slightly deeper
convection, which is helping to bring some of stronger winds aloft
to the surface. Recent surface observations at JVY and CVG measured
wind gusts of 38 kt and 48 kt, respectively.
The potential for a few more strong wind gusts will accompany this
line as it continues northeastward across southern OH. However, the
limited buoyancy previously mentioned should limit the overall
coverage of any damaging wind gusts.
..Mosier/Guyer.. 03/07/2022
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...RLX...ILN...LMK...
LAT...LON 39228457 39568364 39688251 39348215 38728272 38488500
39228457
