MD 0236 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 41… FOR FL SPACE COAST

Mesoscale Discussion 0236
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0246 PM CST Thu Mar 10 2022
Areas affected...FL Space Coast
Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 41...
Valid 102046Z - 102145Z
The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 41
continues.
SUMMARY...The severe risk for Severe Thunderstorm Watch #41 appears
to be focusing near Cape Canaveral over the next hour.
DISCUSSION...Recent radar imagery shows a storm with weak supercell
characteristics over Orange County to the immediate north of an
outflow boundary. Strong directional shear due to easterlies at the
surface veering to south-southwesterly at 1 km is acting to augment
the hodograph. A hail/wind threat could accompany this storm if it
is maintained as it moves east of the Cape over the next hour.
Farther west, a decaying squall line over the greater Tampa Bay area
will likely continue to signal a decrease in the severe risk for
much of west-central FL. The remaining threat for strong storm
development may depend on storms developing over east-central FL
ahead of the outflow from the squall line.
..Smith.. 03/10/2022
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...MLB...TBW...
LAT...LON 28038144 28538104 28708027 27708006 27518098 27708137
28038144




