MD 0329 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 68… FOR SOUTHEAST GA AND FAR NORTHEAST FL
Mesoscale Discussion 0329
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0450 PM CDT Wed Mar 23 2022
Areas affected...southeast GA and far northeast FL
Concerning...Tornado Watch 68...
Valid 232150Z - 232245Z
The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 68 continues.
SUMMARY...A strong storm or two remains possible over the next hour,
though the overall severe threat is expected to wane and shift
offshore through 23z/7pm EDT.
DISCUSSION...A moist and modestly unstable airmass remains across
northeast FL/southeast GA where surface dewpoints are in the upper
60s to low 70s F. This moist axis is contributing to moderate 3 km
CAPE values amid 40-50 kt effective shear magnitudes. However, rain
and thunderstorms through the afternoon have likely lead to some
convective overturning. Additionally, the low-level vorticity max
has shifted east of the coast, and late afternoon water vapor loops
show a midlevel speed max ejecting east of the FL/GA/SC coast. As a
result, waning ascent over the region will limit further convective
development. While a strong storm or two remains possible in the
short term near the coast, the overall threat is expected to
diminish over the next couple of hours.
..Leitman.. 03/23/2022
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...CHS...JAX...
LAT...LON 31838201 31548154 31188102 30448117 30158141 30238191
30548208 31028213 31678212 31788211 31838201
