MD 0344 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 70…71… FOR SOUTHEAST NEBRASKA…SOUTHWEST IOWA…EASTERN KANSAS…AND FAR WESTERN MISSOURI.
Mesoscale Discussion 0344
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0750 PM CDT Tue Mar 29 2022
Areas affected...Southeast Nebraska...southwest Iowa...eastern
Kansas...and far western Missouri.
Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 70...71...
Valid 300050Z - 300215Z
The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 70, 71
continues.
SUMMARY...The severe weather threat is increasing through the
evening.
DISCUSSION...There has been an increase in convective
coverage/intensity over the past hour. This corresponds with the
increase in low-level flow as observed by the EAX VWP. The
convective line has become better organized across eastern Kansas
which may lead to an increasing severe wind threat over the next 1
to 2 hours as this line approaches Kansas City. In addition, the
low-level shear profile may support a QLCS threat during this same
period. These storms will eventually move east of the better
low-level moisture which should limit the severe threat further into
Missouri. Therefore, watch 70 may need to be locally extended 1 or 2
counties, but a new downstream watch is likely not needed.
..Bentley/Guyer.. 03/30/2022
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...DMX...EAX...OAX...TOP...ICT...
LAT...LON 40559600 41099557 41179471 40069408 38809409 38259445
38059524 37939612 37989669 38139694 38479692 38839642
39399602 39949579 40559600
