MD 0378 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 87… FOR SOUTH-CENTRAL INTO NORTHEASTERN PENNSYLVANIA

Mesoscale Discussion 0378
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0240 PM CDT Thu Mar 31 2022
Areas affected...South-central into northeastern Pennsylvania
Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 87...
Valid 311940Z - 312145Z
The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 87
continues.
SUMMARY...Threat for damaging wind gusts and a couple of tornadoes,
particularly in parts of central/eastern Pennsylvania, will continue
this afternoon/evening. A new watch will likely be needed into parts
of southeast New York and New Jersey as activity continues to the
east.
DISCUSSION...Skies have remained relatively clear across parts of
central/eastern Pennsylvania ahead of a line of convection that has
shown increase in coverage and lightning activity. Surface
observational trends have also shown a localized area of pressure
falls ahead of this activity. Damaging wind gusts and isolated
marginally severe hail will remain a concern as these storms
continue eastward. Given the backed surface winds in eastern
Pennsylvania and 850 mb winds that should remain strong to the east,
there will also be a threat for QLCS circulations/tornadoes. As this
activity is expected to continue into southeastern New York and New
Jersey, a new watch will likely be needed this afternoon.
..Wendt.. 03/31/2022
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...OKX...ALY...PHI...BGM...CTP...LWX...
LAT...LON 39917844 41417719 42047597 42327479 41957432 40947466
40317494 39797568 39727605 39507684 39377745 39307808
39407831 39917844




