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SPC MD 38

MD 0038 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 14… FOR PARTS OF NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND FAR SOUTHEAST GEORGIA

MD 0038 Image


Mesoscale Discussion 0038
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0226 PM CST Wed Jan 04 2023

Areas affected...Parts of northeast Florida and far southeast
Georgia

Concerning...Tornado Watch 14...

Valid 042026Z - 042200Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 14 continues.

SUMMARY...Severe risk continues across northeast Florida and far
southeast Georgia. Primary concerns are damaging winds and perhaps a
brief tornado.

DISCUSSION...An intense line of storms across northeast Florida and
southeast Georgia persists this afternoon, moving east-northeast at
around 50 mph. Moist, unstable conditions are present in the
boundary layer ahead of the line, with 0-6 km shear of 50-60 kts
(sampled by the KJAX VWP) oriented oblique to the line. Given the
continued linear/organized mode and deep updrafts keeping pace with
the gust front, damaging winds of up to 60-70 mph and perhaps a
brief tornado are possible. These storms will generally continue
east-northeastward towards the coast over the next couple hours.

..Supinie/Weinman.. 01/04/2023

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...MLB...TBW...JAX...

LAT...LON   29618107 29328115 28998163 28978199 29048247 29318260
            29608259 29998256 30328229 30898167 30718133 29918111
            29618107 

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