MD 0624 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 203… FOR SWRN/S-CNTRL KS…ERN OK PANHANDLE…NRN TX PANHANDLE…NWRN OK
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0624
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0733 PM CDT SUN APR 29 2012
AREAS AFFECTED...SWRN/S-CNTRL KS...ERN OK PANHANDLE...NRN TX
PANHANDLE...NWRN OK
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 203...
VALID 300033Z - 300200Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 203
CONTINUES.
BOWING MCS WAS LOCATED FROM SWRN KS INTO FAR NERN NM AT 0015Z.
AIRMASS IN THE IMMEDIATE VICINITY OF THIS ACTIVITY IS CHARACTERIZED
BY TEMPERATURES IN THE MID 70S AND DEWPOINTS IN THE MID TO UPR 40S.
SURFACE OBSERVATIONS ALSO DEPICT A STRENGTHENING COLD POOL
ASSOCIATED WITH THE MCS...WITH A 20+ F TEMPERATURE CHANGE LOCATED
ACROSS THE GUST FRONT. DURING THE NEXT FEW HRS...SHORT-TERM MODEL
GUIDANCE INDICATES A 20-30 KT SLY LLJ WILL DEVELOP OVER THE SRN
PLAINS...WHICH WILL AID IN THE N-NWWD ADVECTION OF HIGHER THETA-E
AIR LOCATED OVER OK AND NWRN TX...WHERE SURFACE DEWPOINTS ARE IN THE
60S. THIS MAY FAVOR MCS PROPAGATION TOWARD THE SE INTO THE MORE
UNSTABLE AIRMASS. IF THIS TAKES PLACE...SVR WEATHER THREAT WILL
SPREAD INTO S-CNTRL KS...NWRN OK AND THE NRN TX PANHANDLE...AND MAY
REQUIRE EITHER SPATIAL EXTENSION OF WW 203...OR A NEW DOWNSTREAM WW.
..GARNER.. 04/30/2012
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...ICT...OUN...DDC...AMA...ABQ...
LAT...LON 36639820 35709940 35180090 35150227 35600303 36300293
36850106 37940007 38009830 37629759 36639820
via SPC Forecast Products http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md0624.html
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