MD 0628 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL…WATCH UNLIKELY FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST FLORIDA
Mesoscale Discussion 0628
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0515 PM CDT Wed Apr 26 2023
Areas affected...portions of northeast Florida
Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely
Valid 262215Z - 262345Z
Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent
SUMMARY...A few supercells across northeast Florida will continue to
pose a large hail and damaging wind threat for a few hours this
evening.
DISCUSSION...Isolated supercells have been ongoing intermittently
through the afternoon across northeast Florida and southeast Georgia
with several reports of large hail. In addition, there are signs of
additional development in the region which could lead to additional
supercells this evening. MLCAPE around 1500 J/kg and effective shear
around 40-45 knots per SPC mesoanalysis will continue to support
supercell structures and the potential for large hail and damaging
winds. However, this threat should only last for a few more hours
before daytime heating wanes and the threat lessens. Therefore, no
watch additional watch expected in this area.
..Bentley/Grams.. 04/26/2023
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...JAX...
LAT...LON 30028247 30438224 30628187 30638163 30568137 30388136
29868119 29678121 29598145 29708197 29788231 30028247
