MD 0643 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 175… FOR EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA COASTAL AREAS
Mesoscale Discussion 0643
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0652 PM CDT Thu Apr 27 2023
Areas affected...east central Florida coastal areas
Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 175...
Valid 272352Z - 280145Z
The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 175
continues.
SUMMARY...The risk for severe weather may begin to diminish
near/north of Melbourne, but might still increase a bit south of
Melbourne into the Vero Beach vicinity through 9-10 PM EDT. It does
not appear that a new severe weather watch will be needed, however.
DISCUSSION...Attempts at sustained, intensifying thunderstorm
development persist where boundary-layer instability and low-level
convergence remain maximized over the interior peninsula, north of
Lake Okeechobee toward the Melbourne vicinity. At the same time, a
few lingering supercells with occasionally intensifying low-level
mesocyclones have recently been focused near and north of the Cape
Canaveral vicinity, where low-level shear is maximized, aided by
south-southeasterly boundary-layer flow along coastal areas.
Similar intensification of the storms initiating to the
north-northeast of Lake Okeechobee may still be possible along
coastal areas near/north of Vero Beach through 01-02Z. Otherwise,
coastal convection to north seems likely to progress offshore with
forcing accompanying a weak mid-level perturbation.
..Kerr.. 04/27/2023
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...MFL...MLB...
LAT...LON 28728084 28848043 28668017 28418012 27938013 27277999
26848013 26718050 27158054 27768051 28178068 28728084
