MD 0076 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 25… FOR MISSISSIPPI
Mesoscale Discussion 0076
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0802 PM CST Wed Jan 18 2023
Areas affected...Mississippi
Concerning...Tornado Watch 25...
Valid 190202Z - 190300Z
The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 25 continues.
SUMMARY...An isolated severe threat is expected to continue for a
couple more hours. Wind damage and a brief tornado will be possible.
A local extension in area and time has been made across parts of
Mississippi.
DISCUSSION...A line of thunderstorm is currently ongoing from
eastern Louisiana extending north-northeastward into northwest
Mississippi. Some short-line segments have recently intensified near
the Mississippi River in southwest Mississippi. The environment
ahead of these storms is weakly unstable with the RAP showing MLCAPE
around 500 J/kg. In addition, the WSR-88D VWP at Jackson,
Mississippi has about 60 knot of flow from the southwest at 3 km
above ground level. This is creating strong deep-layer shear which
should be enough to support an isolated severe threat continuing
past the expiration of WW 25. For this reason, a local extension in
area and time has been made. The primary threat should wind damage,
although a brief tornado will also remain possible.
..Broyles/Guyer.. 01/19/2023
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...MEG...JAN...LIX...
LAT...LON 34668887 33998958 32759040 32079085 31619124 31389097
31299046 31658994 33128887 34428837 34668887
