MD 0080 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL…WATCH POSSIBLE FOR NORTHEAST OHIO
Mesoscale Discussion 0080
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0349 PM CST Thu Jan 19 2023
Areas affected...Northeast Ohio
Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible
Valid 192149Z - 192315Z
Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent
SUMMARY...The highest potential for strong/severe winds gusts will
likely exist near the shore of Lake Erie in northeast Ohio. Limited
areal threat may preclude a separate downstream watch issuance.
However, additional coordination with WFO Cleveland will occur and
may result in local extension of WW 26.
DISCUSSION...Dry air continues to advect into eastern Ohio/western
Pennsylvania. Dewpoints are in the mid/upper 30s F with the
exception of near the Lake Erie shore where low/mid 40s F remain. A
couple of strong storms have recently developed in northwestern
Ohio. Going forward, strong forcing from the eastward propagating
shortwave trough will continue to bring potential for strong/severe
wind gusts. The threat will be constrained to areas where moisture
is greater which is currently along the lake shore. Given the
limited area of concern, a downstream watch is not currently
anticipated unless observational trends suggest a more organized
wind threat.
..Wendt/Grams.. 01/19/2023
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...PBZ...CLE...
LAT...LON 41318233 41578203 41978098 41958045 41478018 41148023
40768084 40458187 40518213 41318233
