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SPC Jul 26, 2015 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook

Day 1 Outlook Image

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0743 PM CDT SAT JUL 25 2015

VALID 260100Z - 261200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER PARTS OF THE NRN AND CNTRL
PLAINS...

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM SWRN KS INTO NWRN MO...

...THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM THE CNTRL HIGH PLAINS TO
NWRN OH...

...SUMMARY...
ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE
CENTRAL PLAINS TONIGHT.

...NRN/CENTRAL PLAINS...

UPPER RIDGE HAS FLATTENED CONSIDERABLY ACROSS THE CNTRL PLAINS THIS
EVENING...THOUGH DECIDEDLY ANTICYCLONIC FLOW REGIME PERSISTS FROM
THE SRN ROCKIES INTO THE MID MS VALLEY.  ONE PLUME OF HIGHER PW
EXTENDS ALONG THE NRN PERIPHERY OF THE ANTICYCLONE AND STRONG STORMS
HAVE EVOLVED FROM NERN NM...ACROSS CNTRL KS INTO NWRN MO.  SOME OF
THIS ACTIVITY MAY LINGER INTO THE LATE EVENING HOURS AIDED IN PART
BY INCREASING NOCTURNAL LLJ THAT WILL FEED UPDRAFTS ACROSS PARTS OF
SWRN KS.

FARTHER NORTH...LOOSELY ORGANIZED MCS HAS EVOLVED OVER NERN SD AND
NEW UPDRAFTS ARE FORMING ALONG LEADING EDGE OF THIS CLUSTER AS IT
PROPAGATES SEWD TOWARD THE MID MO VALLEY REGION.  NW-SE CORRIDOR OF
WARM ADVECTION SHOULD INTENSIFY AND FOCUS FROM NEAR THE ONGOING
ACTIVITY INTO WRN IA LATER TONIGHT AND THIS IS EXPECTED TO AID SEWD
MOVEMENT AFTER DARK.  LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS
ARE THE PRIMARY THREATS.

..DARROW.. 07/26/2015

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from SPC Forecast Products http://1.usa.gov/1gcwB2s

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