SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0800 PM CDT SUN APR 14 2013 VALID 150100Z - 151200Z ...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS EASTERN FL/EXTREME SOUTHEAST GA... ...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF OK INTO FAR SOUTHEAST KS/NORTHWEST AR/SOUTHWEST MO... ...FL/SOUTHEAST GA... PRIMARY SEVERE THREAT WILL CONTINUE IN SHORT-TERM ALONG THE EAST-CENTRAL FL COASTAL VICINITY...PRIOR TO THE BOUNDARY LAYER BEING CONVECTIVELY OVERTURNED/NOCTURNAL COOLING OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS. FARTHER NORTH...ISOLATED DAMAGING WINDS MAY ALSO BE A CONCERN ACROSS SOUTHEAST GA IN ASSOCIATION WITH A LONG-LIVED/WELL-ORGANIZED LINEAR BOWING COMPLEX. ...NE OK/SOUTHEAST KS TO NORTHWEST AR/SOUTHWEST MO... ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED TSTMS...INCLUDING A COUPLE OF SUPERCELLS ACROSS NORTHEAST OK...WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP THIS EVENING IN VICINITY OF A NORTHEAST-SOUTHWEST ORIENTED COLD FRONT. ALTHOUGH THE BOUNDARY LAYER IS NOT PARTICULARLY MOIST...LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL STEADILY INCREASE ESPECIALLY ACROSS NORTHEAST OK THIS EVENING. THE 00Z OBSERVED SOUNDING FROM NORMAN SAMPLED AROUND 1600 J/KG MUCAPE WITH A STRONG/VEERING WIND PROFILE INCLUDING 50+ KT OF EFFECTIVE SHEAR. BOUTS OF SEVERE HAIL/LOCALLY DAMAGING WIND GUSTS WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH THE EVENING ESPECIALLY ACROSS NORTHEAST OK WITHIN SEVERE TSTM WATCH 107...WITH A MORE MARGINAL/ISOLATED SEVERE THREAT EXPECTED OVERNIGHT. ..GUYER.. 04/15/2013
via SPC Forecast Products http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk_0100.html
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