SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0800 PM CDT MON AUG 05 2013 VALID 060100Z - 061200Z ...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS THE NORTHERN/CENTRAL PLAINS... ...SOUTH-CENTRAL PLAINS... AT LEAST ISOLATED SEVERE TSTMS WILL PERSIST FOR A TIME THIS EVENING WITHIN AN UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT ACROSS THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS...BUT THE DOMINANT SCENARIO WILL BE FOR CONTINUED MCS DEVELOPMENT ACROSS SOUTHERN KS/FAR NORTHERN OK AND EVENTUALLY THE OZARKS. AHEAD OF THE EVOLVING MCS...THE DOWNSTREAM ENVIRONMENT IS QUITE MOIST/UNSTABLE IN VICINITY OF SURFACE FRONTAL ZONE...ALTHOUGH GRADUAL BOUNDARY LAYER COOLING AND SOMEWHAT MODEST MID-LEVEL WINDS SHOULD ULTIMATELY RESULT IN A MORE LIMITED SEVERE RISK BY THE LATE NIGHT HOURS. ...OZARKS... ISOLATED SEVERE TSTMS INCLUDING A COUPLE OF TRANSIENT SUPERCELLS MAY PERSIST GENERALLY SOUTHWARD THIS EVENING IN VICINITY OF THE FRONTAL ZONE WITH ISOLATED INSTANCES OF HAIL/WIND AND PERHAPS A BRIEF TORNADO POSSIBLE. OTHERWISE...AN UPSTREAM EVOLVING MCS SHOULD MOVE INTO THE REGION LATER TONIGHT...BUT WITH AN INCREASINGLY MORE MARGINAL SEVERE POTENTIAL. ...NORTHERN PLAINS... AS A MID-LEVEL SPEED MAX CONTINUES EASTWARD ACROSS THE NORTHERN HIGH PLAINS TONIGHT...MULTIPLE CLUSTERS OF STORMS ARE LIKELY TO CONTINUE EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE DAKOTAS WITH HAIL/WIND POTENTIAL CONTINUING. FOR ADDITIONAL SHORT-TERM INFORMATION...SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1630/SEVERE WATCH 470. ..GUYER.. 08/06/2013
via SPC Forecast Products http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk_0100.html
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