SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0755 PM CDT SAT JUN 02 2012 VALID 030100Z - 031200Z ...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS NERN MT... ...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM WRN KS INTO THE OK/TX PANHANDLES... ...MT... A FEW SEVERE STORMS REMAIN OVER NERN MT...WITH STORMS MAINLY FOCUSED ALONG THE N OF THE SURFACE FRONT. THE 00Z GGW SOUNDING SHOWED FAVORABLE DEEP LAYER WIND SHEAR FOR A CONTINUATION OF ONGOING CONVECTION TO THE SW. WINDS GUSTS WILL BE THE MAIN THREAT. FOR MORE INFORMATION SEE MCD #1023. ...CNTRL/SRN PLAINS... A COMPLEX OF SEVERE STORMS CONTINUES EWD ACROSS WRN KS WITH WIND AND SOME HAIL. OTHER STORMS WERE INCREASING IN COVERAGE OVER THE PANHANDLES WITH SEVERAL SEVERE HAIL CORES AND LOCALLY SEVERE WIND GUSTS. SEVERAL MODELS SUGGEST AN MCS MAY PERSIST OVER SRN KS AND NWRN OK. THUS...HAVE EXTENDED THE SEVERE PROBABILITIES EWD. ...CNTRL OK EWD INTO AR... AN AREA OF HIGHER PWAT VALUES OF 1.50 TO 1.75 INCHES EXIST ACROSS THE RED RIVER VALLEY...WITH BOUNDARY LAYER DEWPOINTS IN THE MID TO UPPER 60S F. MODERATE INSTABILITY IS IN PLACE PER 00Z SOUNDINGS...WITH MLCAPE AROUND 1500 J/KG. COOLING WILL RESULT IN INCREASING CIN OVER MUCH OF THE AREA. HOWEVER...AN INCREASING SWLY LOW LEVEL JET MAY HELP TO FORCE ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS THIS EVENING...AND A FEW COULD CONTAIN MARGINAL HAIL. ..JEWELL.. 06/03/2012
via SPC Forecast Products http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk_0100.html
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