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SPC Jun 5, 2013 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook

Day 1 Outlook Thumbnail Image

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0800 PM CDT TUE JUN 04 2013

VALID 050100Z - 051200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM ERN CO...MUCH OF KS
THROUGH NWRN TX AND TX PANHANDLE AND WRN OK...

...ERN CO...SWRN KS...TX PANHANDLE AND NWRN TX INTO WRN/CNTRL OK...

TWO AREAS OF THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT ARE UNDERWAY THIS EVENING. ONE
ALONG DRYLINE FROM THE TX PANHANDLE INTO NWRN TX AND THE OTHER
WITHIN UPSLOPE REGIME ACROSS ERN CO. WARM SECTOR IS MODERATELY TO
STRONGLY UNSTABLE /1500-3000 J/KG MLCAPE/ WITH AXIS OF STRONGER CAPE
EXTENDING FROM SWRN KS THROUGH WRN/CNTRL OK. STORMS OVER ERN CO
REMAIN DISCRETE SUPERCELLS WITH A THREAT OF MAINLY VERY LARGE HAIL
AS OF EARLY EVENING. HOWEVER...LARGE LOW-LEVEL TEMPERATURE-DEWPOINT
SPREADS AND A STRENGTHENING LLJ WILL SUPPORT ACTIVITY EVENTUALLY
GROWING UPSCALE INTO AN MCS THAT WILL CONTINUE THROUGH SRN KS AND
NWRN-CNTRL OK LATER THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT WITH AN INCREASING
THREAT FOR DAMAGING WIND. CLUSTER OF STORMS OVER NWRN TX IS PROBABLY
MORE DIURNAL IN NATURE AND WILL POSE A THREAT FOR LARGE HAIL AND
DOWNBURST WINDS THROUGH MID EVENING...BEFORE POSSIBLY DISSIPATING BY
LATE EVENING.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION REFERENCE SWOMCD 958 AND 959.

..DIAL.. 06/05/2013

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via SPC Forecast Products http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk_0100.html

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