SPC MD 1114

MD 1114 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 322… FOR SERN WY…SWRN NEB/NEB PANHANDLE…ERN CO…WRN KS


MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1114
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0609 PM CDT MON JUN 17 2013

AREAS AFFECTED...SERN WY...SWRN NEB/NEB PANHANDLE...ERN CO...WRN KS

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 322...

VALID 172309Z - 180015Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 322
CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...ISOLATED DMGG WIND AND HAIL THREAT...AND PERHAPS A
TORNADO...WILL CONTINUE TO ACCOMPANY TSTMS ACROSS THE CNTRL HIGH
PLAINS.

DISCUSSION...LATEST TRENDS INDICATE TSTMS HAVE GENERALLY REMAINED
ISOLATED/DISCRETE...WITH A COUPLE SUPERCELLS NOTED OVER CROWLEY AND
KIT CARSON COUNTIES IN ERN CO AS OF 23Z. MODERATELY MOIST SELY
INFLOW /E.G. DEW POINTS UPPER 40S-LOW 50S/ ALONG WITH EFFECTIVE
SHEAR VALUES OF 30-50 KTS SHOULD CONTINUE TO MAINTAIN TSTM INTENSITY
FOR AT LEAST THE NEXT COUPLE HRS. DESPITE HIGH LCL/S...ENVIRONMENT
ALSO REMAINS SUPPORTIVE FOR A BRIEF TORNADO WITH PERSISTENT
RIGHT-MOVING SUPERCELLS...GIVEN FAVORABLE LOW-LEVEL SHEAR PROFILES.
ACROSS NRN PORTIONS OF THE WW...NUMEROUS OUTFLOW INTERACTIONS APPEAR
TO BE OCCURRING ACROSS NERN CO/SERN WY...AND COULD RESULT IN SOME
CONSOLIDATION INTO A SMALL LINE/BOWING SEGMENT IF CURRENT TRENDS
CONTINUE.

..ROGERS.. 06/17/2013

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LBF...DDC...GLD...PUB...BOU...CYS...

LAT...LON   38920164 37980150 37140169 37010261 37200385 39040421
            41110500 41990481 42360435 42470358 42230290 41940258
            38920164

via SPC Forecast Products http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md1114.html