SPC MD 1118

MD 1118 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 370…371… FOR WRN IA…SERN NEB…NWRN MO…ERN KS


MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1118
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1022 PM CDT SUN JUN 10 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...WRN IA...SERN NEB...NWRN MO...ERN KS

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 370...371...

VALID 110322Z - 110415Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH
370...371...CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...SEVERE THREAT IS GRADUALLY DECREASING ACROSS WW 270/271.
UNLESS ACTIVITY INCREASES IN INTENSITY A NEW WW IS NOT ANTICIPATED
DOWNSTREAM.

DISCUSSION...STRONG CAP APPEARS TO BE NEGATIVELY EFFECTING SRN-MOST
CONVECTION NEAR ICT WITH RAPID WEAKENING OBSERVED OVER THE LAST HALF
HOUR.  FARTHER NORTH...DESPITE THE SIGNIFICANT EML OBSERVED AT TOP
THIS EVENING FRONTAL CONVECTION IS BEING MAINTAINED THROUGH WEAK
WARM ADVECTION.  TSTMS SHOULD SPREAD SLOWLY EAST AS COLD FRONT
SHIFTS INTO CNTRL IA/NWRN MO/NERN KS OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS.  EVEN
SO...IN ALL LIKELIHOOD THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD STRUGGLE TO ATTAIN
ORGANIZED SEVERE LEVELS...ESPECIALLY SOUTH OF I-70 AND NEW WW IS NOT
ANTICIPATED DOWNSTREAM.

..DARROW.. 06/11/2012

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MPX...DMX...EAX...TSA...FSD...OAX...TOP...ICT...
OUN...DDC...

LAT...LON   36989842 38519780 38519746 43569597 43569318 38659483
            38659569 36989641 36989842

via SPC Forecast Products http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md1118.html