MD 1126 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 325… FOR ERN CO…NERN NM
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1126 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0852 PM CDT TUE JUN 18 2013 AREAS AFFECTED...ERN CO...NERN NM CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 325... VALID 190152Z - 190315Z THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 325 CONTINUES. SUMMARY...SEVERE THREAT IS GRADUALLY DIMINISHING AND SHIFTING EAST OF CURRENT WATCH. DISCUSSION...SUBSTANTIAL CONVECTIVE OVERTURNING AND ONSET OF DIURNAL COOLING HAS WEAKENED LAPSE RATES AND MARGINALIZED INSTABILITY ACROSS THE HIGH PLAINS OF CO THIS EVENING. STRONGEST STORMS HAVE SHIFTED INTO NERN NM AND NEAR THE KS BORDER WHERE BUOYANCY IS CURRENTLY GREATEST. EVEN SO...00Z SOUNDING FROM DDC ONLY EXHIBITS SBCAPE ON THE ORDER OF 1000 J/KG. CURRENT THINKING IS MULTI-CLUSTER COMPLEX OF STORMS SHOULD GRADUALLY SHIFT ESEWD OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS AND ISOLATED LARGE HAIL SHOULD BE THE GREATEST SEVERE THREAT. ..DARROW.. 06/19/2013 ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT... ATTN...WFO...GLD...AMA...PUB...BOU...ABQ... LAT...LON 35870500 40960490 40960241 35880267 35870500
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