SPC MD 1213

MD 1213 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 357… FOR S-CNTRL NEB…WRN/CNTRL KS…NWRN OK


MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1213
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0932 PM CDT MON JUN 24 2013

AREAS AFFECTED...S-CNTRL NEB...WRN/CNTRL KS...NWRN OK

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 357...

VALID 250232Z - 250330Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 357
CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...GREATEST SHORT-TERM SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR WW 357 IS
OVER PORTIONS OF SWRN/S-CNTRL KS. CANCELLATION OF WW MAY BE
WARRANTED FROM WRN KS INTO S-CNTRL NEB GIVEN A RAPIDLY STABILIZING
BOUNDARY LAYER.

DISCUSSION...AT 0215Z...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS ONGOING APROX 30 NM
ESE OF DDC IN SWRN KS. VWP FROM THE DODGE CITY AND WICHITA RADAR
SHOW FAVORABLE WIND PROFILES ARE IN PLACE FOR SUPERCELLS...WITH A
30-40 KT LOW-LEVEL JET CONTRIBUTING TO LARGE HODOGRAPH CURVATURE.
THUS...THE STORM ESE OF DDC MAY CONTINUE TO POSE A LARGE
HAIL/DAMAGING WIND THREAT DURING THE NEXT HOUR OR SO. HOWEVER...THE
BOUNDARY LAYER IS COOLING AND CINH IS INCREASING RAPIDLY ACROSS THE
AREA...WHICH SHOULD AID IN WEAKENING THE ONGOING STORM IN SWRN
KS...AND LIKELY PRECLUDE ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT FROM WRN KS INTO
S-CNTRL NEB. THIS MAY WARRANT CANCELLATION OF WW 357 FOR MUCH OF THE
AREA.

..GARNER.. 06/25/2013

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...TOP...ICT...OUN...GID...LBF...DDC...GLD...

LAT...LON   36980201 39580136 39570072 40689997 40689783 38969793
            38949737 38179738 36409853 35849958 35889998 37009998
            36980201

via SPC Forecast Products http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md1213.html