SPC MD 1526

MD 1526 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL…WATCH UNLIKELY FOR WRN AND NCNTRL OK

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1526
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1102 PM CDT THU JUL 25 2013

AREAS AFFECTED...WRN AND NCNTRL OK

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY

VALID 260402Z - 260530Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 PERCENT

SUMMARY...A MARGINAL SEVERE THREAT MAY DEVELOP ACROSS WRN AND NCNTRL
OK OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS. STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND HAIL WILL BE
POSSIBLE BUT WW IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

DISCUSSION...SEVERAL CLUSTERS OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS...ONGOING
ACROSS SCNTRL KS WILL MOVE SEWD ACROSS NW AND NCNTRL OK OVER THE
NEXT FEW HOURS. MESOANALYSIS SUGGESTS THAT MODERATE INSTABILITY IS
IN PLACE ACROSS MUCH OF THE MCD AREA WITH SFC DEWPOINTS AROUND 70 F.
THIS HIGH MOISTURE CONTENT IN THE BOUNDARY LAYER ALONG WITH
INCREASING LOW-LEVEL FLOW...MAY BE ENOUGH FOR A MARGINAL WIND DAMAGE
THREAT WITH THE BETTER ORGANIZED CELLS LOCATED ON THE SERN EDGE OF
THE MCS. HAIL COULD ALSO OCCUR AS THE STORMS MOVE INTO THE STRONGER
INSTABILITY.

..BROYLES/CORFIDI.. 07/26/2013

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...TSA...ICT...OUN...

LAT...LON   37019665 36949917 36019992 35209980 34779930 34719814
            35199656 35669608 36479602 37019665

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