MD 1579 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 453… FOR TX/OK PANHANDLES AND FAR NORTHEAST NM/SOUTHEAST CO/SOUTHWEST KS
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1579
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0814 PM CDT WED JUL 31 2013
AREAS AFFECTED...TX/OK PANHANDLES AND FAR NORTHEAST NM/SOUTHEAST
CO/SOUTHWEST KS
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 453...
VALID 010114Z - 010245Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 453
CONTINUES.
SUMMARY...SEVERE TSTM WATCH 453 CONTINUES UNTIL 04Z...WITH THE
PRIMARY SEVERE RISK CONTINUING IN AREAS SUCH AS THE EASTERN OK
PANHANDLE AND NORTHEAST TX PANHANDLE. BUT OVERALL...WIND/HAIL
POTENTIAL WILL CONTINUE TO BECOME MORE LOCALIZED/MARGINAL THE
REMAINDER OF THE EVENING.
DISCUSSION...THE INFLUENCE OF A FAR SOUTHWEST KS SURFACE COLD
POOL/SOUTHWARD PROGRESSING OUTFLOW CONTINUES TO SUPPORT RELATIVELY
ISOLATED INTENSE CONVECTION...WITH A LINGERING SUPERCELL IN BEAVER
COUNTY OK AS OF 01Z. SEVERE HAIL/WIND WILL REMAIN A POSSIBILITY OVER
THE NEXT HOUR OR TWO IN AREAS SUCH AS THE OK PANHANDLE/NORTHERN TX
PANHANDLE...AND PERHAPS ON A PULSE-TYPE/LOCALIZED BASIS ACROSS THE
WESTERN TX PANHANDLE. HOWEVER...CONVECTIVE OVERTURNING AND/OR A
NOCTURNALLY COOLING BOUNDARY LAYER WILL LIKELY CONTINUE TO RESULT IN
A DIMINISHING CONVECTIVE INTENSITY TREND THROUGH
MID-EVENING...ESPECIALLY GIVEN THE MEAGER BUOYANCY/SHEAR AS NOTED
PER THE 00Z AMARILLO OBSERVED SOUNDING.
..GUYER.. 08/01/2013
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...DDC...GLD...AMA...PUB...ABQ...
LAT...LON 35090140 34760273 34880368 35680350 37750342 38850173
37680121 36650022 35900024 35700125 35090140
via SPC Forecast Products http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md1579.html
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