SPC MD 1585

MD 1585 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL…WATCH NEEDED SOON FOR NORTHEAST CO/NORTHWEST KS/SOUTHWEST NEB


MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1585
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0506 PM CDT THU AUG 01 2013

AREAS AFFECTED...NORTHEAST CO/NORTHWEST KS/SOUTHWEST NEB

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH NEEDED SOON

VALID 012206Z - 012300Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...95 PERCENT

SUMMARY...A SEVERE TSTM WATCH WILL BE ISSUED SOON FOR PORTIONS OF
NORTHEAST CO/NORTHWEST KS/SOUTHWEST NEB. CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK WILL
LIKELY BE AMENDED FOR A SLIGHT RISK UPGRADE ACROSS THE REGION...WITH
DAMAGING WINDS/SEVERE HAIL AS THE PRIMARY HAZARDS.

DISCUSSION...CLUSTERS OF STRONG/SEVERE STORMS CONTINUE TO
MATURE/MOVE EASTWARD TO THE EAST OF THE I-25 CORRIDOR IN NORTHEAST
CO...WHILE TOWERING CU/INCIPIENT TSTM DEVELOPMENT IS ALSO NOTED IN
NORTHWEST KS. WHILE VERTICAL SHEAR IS NOT ROBUST...A RELATIVELY
MOIST/UNSTABLE AIRMASS ACROSS NORTHEAST CO/SOUTHWEST NEB/NORTHWEST
KS WITH 2000+ J/KG MLCAPE WILL ALLOW FOR THE SUSTENANCE/GRADUAL
EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD PROPAGATION OF TSTM CLUSTERS THROUGH THE EVENING.
DAMAGING WINDS AND SEVERE HAIL ARE THE PRIMARY HAZARDS.

..GUYER/THOMPSON.. 08/01/2013

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LBF...GLD...BOU...

LAT...LON   39080395 40930415 40620129 39810029 39010072 38760246
            39080395

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