SPC MD 1592

MD 1592 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 455…459… FOR EASTERN NEB AND NORTHEAST KS/NORTHWEST MO


MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1592
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0947 PM CDT THU AUG 01 2013

AREAS AFFECTED...EASTERN NEB AND NORTHEAST KS/NORTHWEST MO

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 455...459...

VALID 020247Z - 020415Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH
455...459...CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...SEVERE TSTM WATCHES 455/459 CONTINUE UNTIL 03Z AND 06Z
RESPECTIVELY...WITH SEVERE TSTM WATCH 455 ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 03Z.
DAMAGING WINDS/SOME SEVERE HAIL REMAINS A CONCERN...AND AT LEAST AN
ISOLATED SEVERE THREAT COULD DEVELOP INTO FAR NORTHEAST KS AND
EVENTUALLY INTO FAR NORTH-CENTRAL KS.

DISCUSSION...THE LEADING EDGE OF A QUASI-LINEAR MCS CONTINUES TO
SPREAD SOUTHEASTWARD TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST NEB/NORTHEAST KS
BORDER...WITH ADDITIONAL STORMS CONTINUING TO REDEVELOP ON ITS
WESTERN FLANK/COMPOSITE OUTFLOW ACROSS SOUTH-CENTRAL NEB. THE
BOUNDARY LAYER CONTINUES TO GRADUALLY COOL SOUTH OF THE
MCS...ALTHOUGH THE PRESENCE OF A SURFACE COOL POOL ACROSS
SOUTHEAST/EAST-CENTRAL NEB SHOULD CONTINUE TO SUSTAIN
STRONG/POTENTIALLY SEVERE-CALIBER LINEAR SEGMENTS/BOWS IN THE
PRESENCE OF AN INCREASING SOUTHERLY LOW LEVEL JET/STORM RELATIVE
INFLOW. DAMAGING WINDS WILL REMAIN A CONCERN INTO LATE EVENING
ACROSS EXTREME SOUTH-CENTRAL/SOUTHEAST NEB AND POTENTIALLY NORTHEAST
KS. WHILE NOT IMMINENT/CERTAIN...CONVECTIVE TRENDS WILL CONTINUE TO
BE MONITORED FOR SOME POSSIBILITY OF A SEVERE TSTM WATCH ACROSS
NORTH-CENTRAL/NORTHEAST KS.

..GUYER.. 08/02/2013

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...EAX...OAX...TOP...GID...

LAT...LON   40569889 40979842 40999696 39239502 38789553 39709835
            40569889

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