SPC MD 2088

MD 2088 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL…WATCH UNLIKELY FOR NRN KS…SRN AND ERN NEB…SWRN IA


MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2088
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1120 PM CDT WED OCT 24 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...NRN KS...SRN AND ERN NEB...SWRN IA

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY

VALID 250420Z - 250615Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 PERCENT

SUMMARY...STORMS WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE...AND SEVERE
HAIL MAY OCCUR.

DISCUSSION...A RASH OF ELEVATED CONVECTION CONTINUES TO INCREASE N
OF THE COLD FRONT WHERE A STRONG SLY LOW LEVEL JET IS TRANSPORTING
MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY NWD. COOL TEMPERATURES ALOFT AS WELL AS
AMPLE DEEP LAYER SHEAR MAY ALLOW FOR A FEW STRONG CELLS TO DEVELOP
AND PRODUCE LARGE HAIL. HOWEVER...ANY SEVERE THREAT SHOULD BE
ISOLATED AND WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT EWD WITH TIME AS THE COLD AIR
DEEPENS AND SHUNTS THE INSTABILITY AXIS E.

..JEWELL/THOMPSON.. 10/25/2012

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...DMX...FSD...OAX...TOP...ICT...GID...DDC...

LAT...LON   39019954 41259836 42149707 42709537 42679416 42329384
            41719418 41059523 40269616 39689690 39159745 38969782
            38779822 38709867 38719926 39019954

via SPC Forecast Products http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md2088.html