SPC MD 403

MD 0403 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 85… FOR EASTERN CO…NORTHWEST KS


MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0403
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0609 PM CDT MON APR 08 2013

AREAS AFFECTED...EASTERN CO...NORTHWEST KS

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 85...

VALID 082309Z - 090015Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 85
CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...ISOLATED INTENSE STORMS CONTINUE OVER NORTHEAST CO...AND
MAY SPREAD EASTWARD INTO KS/NEB SHORTLY.

DISCUSSION...RADAR/SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOW TWO SUPERCELL
THUNDERSTORMS AFFECTING NORTHEAST CO.  ONE OVER KIT CARSON COUNTY
AND ONE OVER WASHINGTON COUNTY CO.  THE SOUTHERN STORM HAS PRODUCED
1 INCH HAIL IN THE PAST 30 MIN.  THE ACTIVITY IS MOVING
NORTHEASTWARD INTO A PROGRESSIVELY MORE MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIR MASS
AS SOUTHEAST LOW LEVEL WINDS TRANSPORT 50S DEWPOINTS INTO AREA.
MESOSCALE MODEL SOLUTIONS CONTINUE TO SUGGEST THE POSSIBILITY THAT
ONE OR TWO INTENSE STORMS COULD PERSIST FOR A FEW MORE HOURS AND
EVENTUALLY TRACK INTO NEB.  REFERENCE MCD NUMBER 402 FOR FURTHER
DETAILS ON THIS THREAT.

..HART/GARNER.. 04/08/2013

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LBF...GLD...PUB...BOU...

LAT...LON   38500272 39500330 40770281 40970205 39860108 38890153
            38500272

via SPC Forecast Products http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md0403.html