SPC MD 880

MD 0880 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL…WATCH UNLIKELY FOR PARTS OF THE CNTRL PLAINS


MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0880
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0155 PM CDT THU MAY 30 2013

AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF THE CNTRL PLAINS

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY

VALID 301855Z - 302100Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 PERCENT

SUMMARY...MARGINAL SEVERE HAIL/WIND THREAT MAY DEVELOP WITH AN
EWD-MOVING CLUSTER OF TSTMS IN WRN KS.

DISCUSSION...SCATTERED SHOWERS/TSTMS CONTINUE TO DEVELOP IN
ASSOCIATION WITH A SHORTWAVE IMPULSE CROSSING THE CNTRL HIGH PLAINS.
ALTHOUGH DOWNSTREAM AIR MASS HAD BEEN OVERTURNED IN THE WAKE OF AN
MCS THAT EXTENDS FROM WRN MO INTO NERN OK...UNINHIBITED SURFACE
INSOLATION IS OCCURRING IN CNTRL KS/SRN NEB. WITH A POCKET OF COLDER
MID-LEVEL TEMPERATURES/STEEPER LAPSE RATES IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE
UPSTREAM TROUGH...EVEN WITH WEAK BUOYANCY...SOME OF THIS CONVECTION
COULD INTENSIFY AS IT MOVES INTO A STRONGER SHEARED ENVIRONMENT.

..GRAMS/MEAD.. 05/30/2013

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...ICT...GID...LBF...DDC...GLD...BOU...

LAT...LON   40460216 40479999 40349936 39449824 38089783 37379809
            37089885 37150001 38170115 39200237 39970250 40460216

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