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SPC MD 1047

MD 1047 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 332… FOR PORTIONS OF KANSAS AND FAR NORTHERN OKLAHOMA

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Mesoscale Discussion 1047
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0558 PM CDT Thu Jun 15 2017

Areas affected...Portions of Kansas and far northern Oklahoma

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 332...

Valid 152258Z - 160000Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 332
continues.

SUMMARY...Congealing severe thunderstorms will accelerate
east/southeast across Kansas this evening, with a continued threat
of damaging wind gusts, a few of which could be significant.

DISCUSSION...Several clusters of severe thunderstorms, with a few
embedded mesoscale vortices, are evolving generally southeastward
this evening. The overall evolution appears to suggest upscale
growth into a bowing complex stretching from Clay County southward
to Marion County as of 2250Z. Additionally, low-level
confluence/warm advection is enhancing storm propagation to the west
towards Rice County (noted in the recent appearance of several ZDR
columns and expansion of low-level hydrometeor size sorting
signatures). Reflectivity, velocity, and dual-pol data also suggest
a surge or rear-inflow drying/winds pushing across Rice County. With
storm-relative inflow bolstered by south/southeasterly winds of
15-20 kt and strong instability ahead of the organizing complex,
storms will likely continue to accelerate east/southeastward, with
the potential for one or more swaths of damaging winds across
southern/eastern Kansas. Indeed, a few significant severe gusts
remain possible. As such, an extension and/or replacement of Watch
332 will likely be coordinated within the hour.

..Picca.. 06/15/2017

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...SGF...EAX...TSA...TOP...ICT...OUN...DDC...

LAT...LON   38590056 38719866 38909762 39469720 39479525 39179418
            38199398 37019413 36909612 36799837 37109950 38040015
            38590056 

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from SPC Mesoscale Discussions http://bit.ly/2t83nca

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