MD 1047 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 332… FOR PORTIONS OF KANSAS AND FAR NORTHERN OKLAHOMA
Mesoscale Discussion 1047 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0558 PM CDT Thu Jun 15 2017 Areas affected...Portions of Kansas and far northern Oklahoma Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 332... Valid 152258Z - 160000Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 332 continues. SUMMARY...Congealing severe thunderstorms will accelerate east/southeast across Kansas this evening, with a continued threat of damaging wind gusts, a few of which could be significant. DISCUSSION...Several clusters of severe thunderstorms, with a few embedded mesoscale vortices, are evolving generally southeastward this evening. The overall evolution appears to suggest upscale growth into a bowing complex stretching from Clay County southward to Marion County as of 2250Z. Additionally, low-level confluence/warm advection is enhancing storm propagation to the west towards Rice County (noted in the recent appearance of several ZDR columns and expansion of low-level hydrometeor size sorting signatures). Reflectivity, velocity, and dual-pol data also suggest a surge or rear-inflow drying/winds pushing across Rice County. With storm-relative inflow bolstered by south/southeasterly winds of 15-20 kt and strong instability ahead of the organizing complex, storms will likely continue to accelerate east/southeastward, with the potential for one or more swaths of damaging winds across southern/eastern Kansas. Indeed, a few significant severe gusts remain possible. As such, an extension and/or replacement of Watch 332 will likely be coordinated within the hour. ..Picca.. 06/15/2017 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...SGF...EAX...TSA...TOP...ICT...OUN...DDC... LAT...LON 38590056 38719866 38909762 39469720 39479525 39179418 38199398 37019413 36909612 36799837 37109950 38040015 38590056
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