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SPC MD 1076

MD 1076 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 346… FOR SOUTHEAST KANSAS…SOUTHWEST MISSOURI…NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA

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Mesoscale Discussion 1076
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0934 PM CDT Sat Jun 17 2017

Areas affected...Southeast Kansas...southwest Missouri...northeast
Oklahoma

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 346...

Valid 180234Z - 180430Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 346
continues.

SUMMARY...A threat of severe wind and hail persists across WW 346,
and may extend a bit farther southeast into northeastern Oklahoma
into southwestern Missouri this evening. A new/small watch may be
needed.

DISCUSSION...Scattered severe storms, with a mixture of cells and
lines, persist from southern KS into northern MO. Cells over
southwestern KS have shown very large hail cores at times, as well
as strong winds, and remain relatively discrete. However, a merging
could occur as the cold front continues to undercut. Over eastern
Kansas, cells have merged with a cluster of severe storms just
northeast of Wichita propagating rapidly southward. Damaging winds
and hail are likely with this activity, which will approach the
KS/OK state line by around 0430Z. Farther east, storms continue just
east of the Kansas city area, with indications of damaging winds.

Storms will continue to shift southeastward this evening, and the
air mass remains unstable. However, capping will become a concern,
with 00Z SGF and OUN soundings showing substantial CIN. The greatest
threat of severe wind and hail will be immediately south of WW 346,
but it is unclear how far south these storms will remain
strong/severe.

..Jewell/Guyer.. 06/18/2017

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...LSX...SGF...EAX...TSA...TOP...ICT...OUN...

LAT...LON   38189675 38659561 38999506 39449467 39669371 39519277
            39389250 38689203 38169221 37509262 37029330 36289505
            36049557 36029616 36119670 36459708 36979739 37629732
            37889736 38189675 

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from SPC Mesoscale Discussions http://bit.ly/2sFAsiu

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