MD 1505 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL…WATCH UNLIKELY FOR CENTRAL THROUGH NORTH-CENTRAL KANSAS
Mesoscale Discussion 1505 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0523 AM CDT Wed Aug 16 2017 Areas affected...central through north-central Kansas Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely Valid 161023Z - 161230Z Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent SUMMARY...Storms will continue to pose a threat for a few strong to damaging wind gusts through 13Z across a part of north central KS, but a diminishing trend is expected thereafter. Remaining extent and duration of the severe threat is not expected to be sufficient for a WW. DISCUSSION...Early this morning a line of storms extends from north central into central KS and is moving east at 30-35 kt. Several measured gusts from 50 to around 60 mph have been recorded with a portion of the line over north central KS. Activity is being sustained by a 30-40 kt southerly low-level jet that is enhancing convergence and ascent along the cold pool and supporting a forward propagating MCS. The atmosphere remains moderately unstable through central and a part of east central KS, and storms will remain capable of producing a few strong to severe gusts next couple hours. However, tendency will be for the low-level jet to veer and weaken after 13Z as a shortwave trough over eastern NE continues into the upper MS valley region, and this process should result in some weakening beyond that time. ..Dial/Grams.. 08/16/2017 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...TOP...ICT...GID... LAT...LON 39419801 39439699 39169652 38889672 38789755 38989832 39419801
from SPC Mesoscale Discussions http://bit.ly/2v0RULe
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