MD 0050 CONCERNING FREEZING RAIN FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN NE…NORTHERN KS…NORTHERN MO…SOUTHWESTERN IA
Mesoscale Discussion 0050 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0902 AM CST Sun Jan 15 2017 Areas affected...Portions of southern NE...northern KS...northern MO...southwestern IA Concerning...Freezing rain Valid 151502Z - 152000Z SUMMARY...Areas of freezing rain are forecast to develop northward/northeastward across portions of the central Plains toward the lower MO and middle MS Valley region through the day. DISCUSSION...Ongoing precipitation from east-central CO eastward through central KS and MO lies within a region of weak elevated warm advection. As a midlevel cyclone -- presently south of El Paso TX per water vapor imagery -- continues advancing eastward and then northeastward, a low-level jet over the southern Plains will gradually intensify and advance eastward/northeastward. In turn, the zone of ascent supporting this precipitation will gradually shift northward during the next several hours. Initial areas of precipitation crossing southeast NE, northwest MO, and southwest IA are contributing to low/midlevel saturation, while the aforementioned ongoing precipitation should overspread the area within the next few hours, and continue into the afternoon. An elevated warm layer (temperature around 6.5C at 850 mb at Topeka per 12Z sounding) will generally support complete melting of descending hydrometeors, which will re-freeze within the sub-freezing surface layer. Freezing rain, with rates of 0.02 to locally 0.05 inch per hour, will be possible. Somewhat cooler profiles aloft with northward extent (e.g., as sampled at Omaha NE at 12Z) may support initial instances of sleet from parts of southern NE through the lower MO Valley. ..Cohen.. 01/15/2017 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...LSX...DMX...EAX...OAX...TOP...ICT...GID...LBF... DDC...GLD... LAT...LON 38799711 39380082 40200139 40689930 40849538 40239256 39229161 38769252 38799711
from SPC Mesoscale Discussions http://bit.ly/2jTe5BD
Be First to Comment