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SPC MD 998

MD 0998 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 276… FOR ERN NEB…SRN IA…NRN MO…NE KS

MD 0998 Image


MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0998
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0642 PM CDT MON JUN 20 2016

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN NEB...SRN IA...NRN MO...NE KS

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 276...

VALID 202342Z - 210045Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 276
CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...THREAT FOR ISOLATED DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL WILL
PERSIST FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS...FOCUSING PRIMARILY INTO NRN MO AND
PERHAPS EXTENDING A TIER OR TWO OF COUNTIES S OF THE EXISTING WATCH.
 FARTHER N...THE RISK FOR LARGE HAIL SHOULD DIMINISH SLOWLY ACROSS
ERN NEB AND SRN IA.

DISCUSSION...BANDS OF ELEVATED CONVECTION N OVER ERN NEB AND SW IA
/TO THE N OF THE SURFACE COLD FRONT/ ARE LIKELY PAST PEAK
INTENSITY...AND SHOULD DIMINISH THIS EVENING GIVEN ONLY WEAK WAA
PATTERN ABOVE THE FRONTAL SURFACE.  THE MORE INTENSE STORMS ARE
EXPECTED TO FOCUS ALONG THE COLD FRONT AND PRE-FRONTAL TROUGH ACROSS
NRN MO...WITH SOME THE STORMS LIKELY SHIFTING A LITTLE S OF THE
EXISTING WATCH AREA.  MODERATE BUOYANCY AND DEEP-LAYER NWLY SHEAR
WILL HELP MAINTAIN A RISK FOR ORGANIZED MULTICELL CLUSTERS WITH AN
ATTENDANT DAMAGING WIND/HAIL RISK FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS INTO NRN
MO...WHERE A LOCAL EXTENSION OF THE WATCH MAY NEED TO BE CONSIDERED
NEAR THE I-70 CORRIDOR.

..THOMPSON.. 06/20/2016

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LSX...DVN...DMX...EAX...OAX...TOP...GID...

LAT...LON   39369527 39569737 41529783 41589783 41799783 41889783
            42089783 42089783 42089772 42089738 42089737 42089729
            42089681 42089666 42089655 42089655 42049626 41869508
            41159218 40909172 40389141 39599118 39249136 38899234
            38839407 39369527 

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from SPC Mesoscale Discussions http://1.usa.gov/1locdv9

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