MD 1069 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL…WATCH UNLIKELY FOR SOUTHEAST MISSOURI…NORTHEAST ARKANSAS
Mesoscale Discussion 1069 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0955 AM CDT Wed Jul 01 2020 Areas affected...Southeast Missouri...northeast Arkansas Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely Valid 011455Z - 011630Z Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent SUMMARY...Limited potential for damaging wind gusts exists for areas downstream of ongoing south-central MO convection. Greatest risk appears to be in northeast AR if convection is maintained. No WW is currently expected. Trends will be monitored, however. DISCUSSION...A cluster of storms moving southeastward into south-central Missouri may pose some risk for isolated strong/damaging wind gusts for another few hours. Overall, convective trends have been down with IR satellite showing contraction of the coldest cloud tops. With the 12Z LZK showing near 22 C at 850 mb and outflow from an overnight MCS to the east, the potential for intensification appears limited. Should convection maintain strength, the area of greatest risk for damaging wind gusts will likely exist in northeast Arkansas where the strongest heating will occur. Given the uncertainty, no WW is currently anticipated. Trends will continue to be monitored this afternoon. ..Wendt/Hart.. 07/01/2020 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...PAH...MEG...LSX...LZK...SGF... LAT...LON 37809339 38259256 37919086 36578997 35479000 35219073 35459176 36709303 37359348 37809339
from SPC Mesoscale Discussions https://bit.ly/294QEkn
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