MD 1163 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 334… FOR SOUTHEAST KS…SOUTHWEST MO…AND FAR NORTH-CENTRAL/NORTHEAST OK
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1163
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0556 AM CDT WED JUL 06 2016
AREAS AFFECTED...SOUTHEAST KS...SOUTHWEST MO...AND FAR
NORTH-CENTRAL/NORTHEAST OK
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 334...
VALID 061056Z - 061300Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 334
CONTINUES.
SUMMARY...THE OVERALL THREAT FOR SEVERE WEATHER TO OCCUR EARLY THIS
MORNING CONTINUES TO DIMINISH WITH THE SOUTHEAST PORTION OF WW 334
HAVING THE GREATEST POTENTIAL THROUGH 12-13Z. IN THIS PORTION OF
THE WATCH...WHICH INCLUDES MAINLY FAR SOUTHWEST MO AND ADJACENT
COUNTIES IN EXTREME SOUTHEAST KS AND NORTHEAST OK...ISOLATED
DAMAGING WINDS MAY OCCUR.
DISCUSSION...TRENDS IN IR SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWED WARMING CLOUD
TOPS ATTENDANT TO THE KS MCS. THE LEADING PORTION OF THIS COMPLEX
MOVED INTO FAR SOUTHWEST MO BETWEEN 1030-1040Z WITH AN
EAST-SOUTHEAST MOVEMENT AROUND 45 KT. DESPITE THIS FAST SPEED...
SURFACE OBSERVATIONS HAVE REPORTED SUB-SEVERE GUSTS...SUGGESTING THE
DEPTH OF THE STABILIZING BOUNDARY LAYER HAS BECOME GREAT ENOUGH TO
LIMIT DOWNWARD MOMENTUM TRANSFER. A 30-40 KT SWLY LOW-LEVEL JET
EXTENDING FROM THE SOUTHERN PLAINS INTO THIS MCS WILL SUPPORT
FURTHER TSTM DEVELOPMENT...THOUGH THE AFOREMENTIONED BOUNDARY-LAYER
STABILIZATION SUGGESTS THE SEVERE-WEATHER THREAT WILL CONTINUE TO
DIMINISH...AS STORMS DEVELOP/SPREAD INTO SOUTHERN MO...NORTHEAST OK
AND FAR NORTHERN AR.
..PETERS.. 07/06/2016
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...SGF...TSA...ICT...
LAT...LON 36979518 37159475 37479461 37639459 37769440 37679352
37569323 36899286 36819288 36729400 36809468 36979518
from SPC Mesoscale Discussions http://bit.ly/29hD4tN
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