SPC MD 1198

MD 1198 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 353… FOR ERN KS INTO WRN MO

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1198
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1101 PM CDT THU JUL 07 2016

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN KS INTO WRN MO

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 353...

VALID 080401Z - 080600Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 353
CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...THE THREAT OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUES ACROSS THE
WATCH AREA ESPECIALLY OVER ERN KS AND INTO SWRN MO WITH SEVERE
WIND...HAIL...AND VERY HEAVY RAINS.

DISCUSSION...A SUPERCELL CLUSTER WHICH EARLIER PRODUCED A TORNADO
OVER SERN KS HAS BECOME A LITTLE MORE DISORGANIZED WITH LESS
ROTATION NOTED ON RADAR. THESE CELLS WERE PRODUCING EXTREMELY HEAVY
RAINS AND LIKELY MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL ALONG WITH STRONG WINDS.
STRONG MOISTURE FLUX INTO THIS CONVECTIVE CLUSTER VIA THE LOW-LEVEL
JET WILL LIKELY ALLOW THE THREAT TO PERSIST FOR SEVERAL HOURS ACROSS
SERN KS INTO SWRN MO.

OTHER CELLS WERE SLOWER TO DEVELOP INTO CNTRL MO...BUT STRONG
INSTABILITY MAY SUPPORT A FEW TALL STORMS CAPABLE OF WIND OR HAIL
LATER TONIGHT.

..JEWELL.. 07/08/2016

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LSX...SGF...EAX...TOP...ICT...

LAT...LON   38049258 37829312 37379383 37089452 37159558 37369624
            37669706 38139691 38799522 39139193 38719156 38219193
            38049258 

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