MD 1407 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 363… FOR NORTHERN KS AND SOUTHEASTERN NE
Mesoscale Discussion 1407 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0638 PM CDT Sat Sep 01 2018 Areas affected...Northern KS and southeastern NE Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 363... Valid 012338Z - 020145Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 363 continues. SUMMARY...Large hail and strong, damaging wind gusts remain severe threats as storms continue to increase in coverage and intensity across north-central Kansas, and develop/track to the northeast into southeast Nebraska this evening. DISCUSSION...Trends in mosaic radar imagery since 2130Z showed a cluster of intense storms is tracking to the northeast across north-central KS, with this cluster centered on Osborne/western Mitchell Counties at 2325Z. Meanwhile, additional strong/intense cells have developed immediately downstream into Jewell County near the surface boundary which extends from the ongoing cluster into southeast NE. Further strengthening of a southerly low-level jet with increasing warm advection this evening into northern KS and eventually southeast NE will allow for continued thunderstorm development. This combined with the ongoing larger storm cluster tracking into stronger instability with east-northeast extent suggests similar storm intensities can be expected with large hail and damaging winds the primary threats. If a cold pool becomes established with the north-central KS cluster, then damaging winds will become the primary threat, as the low-level jet veers to southwesterly into southeast NE. Additional strong to severe storms have also formed along the southwest flank/outflow boundary of the initial cluster of storms, mainly in vicinity of Ellis County where the environment remained unstable and sufficiently sheared. Until these latter storms weaken, the southwest portion of WW 363 should not be canceled. ..Peters.. 09/01/2018 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...EAX...OAX...TOP...ICT...GID...DDC... LAT...LON 38599961 38999933 39229906 39699896 40119861 40549810 41099683 41399674 41389599 40299553 40019606 39599626 39279736 39169780 38879794 38659856 38599961
from SPC Mesoscale Discussions http://bit.ly/2Pu6DsE
Be First to Comment